Friday, February 13, 2009

New Site

Hey everyone...

For those of you actually reading this, I've decided to change hosts.  Blogger is great, but my options are slightly limited... and if I ever decided to do more with the blog, this isn't the "professional" option.

So anyway... here's the new link.  http://wordstoplayby.wordpress.com

Cheers,
-Nic

Thursday, February 12, 2009

2009 MLB Predictions

With the baseball season not too far in the distance, i thought that it's high time for me to do my predictions of this season.  I'm not one of those super in-depth analysts that will tell you how many HRs someone will have, or a batting average or anything like that... instead, I'm more of the "outside the box" kinda guy when it comes to predictions.

June 6 of last year, I wrote in my personal blog about my predictions for the end of the '08 season and the '09 season.  Really brief, mostly focused on the Yankees (who, if you haven't figured out yet, I despise on principal as a Red Sox fan).  For those that don't wish to go read it, here's the predictions.
  1. (Part of the '08 season) The Yankees will finish no better than 3rd... 4th if Toronto steps their game up.
  2. Shortly after the '08 World Series gets over with (c'mon, Red Sox/Cubs matchup), Hank Stinebrenner will be ousted and George will come and take his rightful place back.
  3. Serious rebuilding will happen for the Yankees.  Jaba will get more practice as a starter, and the Yankees will be good.  (I should define good in this case as "having a lot of skill", not necessarily "win a lot of games".)
  4. Fast forward a bit... the Yankees will win the 2009 World Series.
#1... nailed it.  Rays and Red Sox took the East and Wild Card.

#2... not so much.  Not only did my dream of a Red Sox/Cubs series fall through, but Hank is still in charge.  This is both a great thing and a bad thing for me... as an avid Red Sox fan, there's nothing that I enjoy watching more than a Red Sox/Yankees series, especially those that are close, energetic, and true to the rivalry that we've held for so long.  I personally feel that the George-less Yankees are losing their direction.  In the past, they would go out and buy the best players, but they would all fit within their system.  (Oh look, a #3 sighting!) This offseason, I just feel like they are buying the best players, with no regard for whether these players will fit into the Yankees system or not.

#4... I'm withdrawing this statement.  I'll get to this later.

So let's start fresh, with all the things that we've witnessed in this offseason.  We've seen the Manny saga working its way along the California coast (now you all know what we went through in Boston), we've seen a crazy amount of legal drama (what is this, the Cincinnati Bengals?), and we've seen the kind of money thrown at players that could buy a small country, or at least work towards getting our country out of this recession that we're in.  Ugh, politics... I'm getting out of that realm right now.

So, here we go.  2009 MLB predictions... not exactly as you might expect them.
  1. We are not done with this whole steroid saga, not by a long shot.  This season alone, I'm guessing no fewer than 3 big-time players are going to come out/be forced out, admitting to their use of steroids or performance-enhancing drugs (PEDs, for the sake of this article).  Whether it was an old usage back when it wasn't illegal, or a current usage that causes a suspension, I don't know.
  2. We are going to see a crazy amount of people doing stupid things at ballparks this year.  Streakers, fights in the stands, and things of that sort.
  3. Out of these stupid things... we're going to have 2 cases of players doing something so ridiculous that the league will have no choice but to suspend him (think Randall Simon and the sausage race, then kick it up a notch).
  4. Home runs are going to be down, down, down.  Steroid and PED usage are going to be down for fear of getting ousted now, and I believe we are going to see a lot more "small-ball" being played... hit and runs, sacrifice bunts/flys, steals, squeeze plays (please?!?), and the like.
  5. Also to that effect... we will not be seeing some of the "overpowering pitching" that we may have seen in the past.  Fewer strikeouts overall this season, especially from the power pitchers.  There's going to be less emphasis on swinging for the fences, and more on just making good contact this season.  Crafty pitchers (or those that don't rely on power to do their work) will not see a big dip in their stats.
  6. The Tigers, Royals, Reds, and Padres will not be "joke" teams this year.  While they won't make it to the playoffs, they will be a tough out, hovering just above .500, and at least one of these teams will kill some playoff pushes for another team.
  7. NL Division Winners - Mets, Cubs, Diamondbacks (WC: Phillies)
  8. AL Division Winners - Red Sox, Twins, Angels (WC: White Sox)
  9. NL Playoffs - Cubs over Phillies, Mets over Diamondbacks - Mets over Cubs
  10. AL Playoffs - Red Sox over White Sox, Twins over Angels - Twins over Red Sox (man, that hurt to type)
  11. 2009 World Series Champion - Minnesota Twins over the New York Mets
Something tells me that I'm going to want to change my picks as soon as I hit "publish", but I'm sticking with this.

On a side note... I heard someone talking somewhere about how MLB stadiums may have to cut staff due to the recession, while they're paying the players crazy amounts of money to play a game.  Whoever was talking about it had a great idea... players, take a 1/2 of 1% paycut... so for a player making $20m, that's $100k.  Take all that money you're pulling back, and put it towards your workers and your fans.  Keep all the hot dog, cracker jack, and ballpark beer vendors in their places, and have some more "fan days" so that your paying customers get a little something out of coming to watch a ball game at $100 a ticket (or whatever amount they may be paying).  The whole point of this game that you play, besides "winning it all", is as a form of entertainment for me and the rest of America and the world.  Why not show how much you, the players, care about us, the fans?  Do your part, help out the community you're a part of, and do some good for this country.  Again... ugh, politics.  I thought I was gonna stay out of this.

So there you have it.  Your not-so-normal 2009 MLB Predictions, from a guy who doesn't get paid to analyze this stuff all off-season.  There's no facts to back up any of this, only my thoughts.

Who's ready for Fantasy Baseball???

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

NBA All-Star Game

Alright, so here we go... it's that time of year again.  Right around my birthday every year, I'm treated with the NBA All-Star Game/Weekend.  This is one of the few all-star events that I actually enjoy watching, mostly because I'm just fascinated with watching good basketball players make magic on the court.

However, I do have a few bones to pick with the NBA, as well as the players themselves.

First off, the Slam Dunk competition.  When I think of this, there's one name that comes to mind... Michael Jordan.  Even though he only won right after I was born ('87 and '88), there's just something electric about watching his old dunks on ESPN Classic, especially the epic free-throw-line dunk.  My problem with this event?  Here are some names I should be thinking of: Kobe.  Lebron.  Wade.  Carmelo.  Amaré.  More of these "stars", the high flying, flashy players that make us watch the NBA in the first place.  Who are the participants this year?  Dwight Howard (the returning champ), Nate Robinson, Rudy Gay, and Rudy Fernández.  How many of you outside of Memphis know who Rudy Fernández is?  Just kidding.  I know he really plays for Toronto... or wait, is it Oklahoma City?  No?  Sacramento?  No?  Seriously, he plays for Portland?  I thought the big name in Portland was Greg Oden...

Second, the game itself.  Yes, I love seeing all this offense and whatnot, but these guys are out there not even trying until maybe the 4th quarter.  Take a page from the MLB.  You know why their game is always exciting?  Because it means something.  Winner gets home field advantage in the World Series.  There's some argument that the team with the best record should have the home field advantage, but when teams don't play the *exact* same competition, that's not truly fair... then again, having representatives from your conference and your direct competitors try and win you (or themselves... magic always happens in the playoffs) home field/court advantage isn't necessarily fair either, but it would keep people tuned in and make the entire game more exciting.

Also, Shaq... please start working on your 3-point shot and your ball handling skills now.  The best part of my night is when you bring the ball up the court, give a little hesitation and between-the-legs dribble, and then jack up a 3-pointer... that is, until you clank it off of something within the same zip code as the rim you were shooting at.  For once, just for me... make that shot.

A thought that I've heard over the past couple of years has been America vs. the World.  Exciting, maybe... but that's what we have the Olympics for.  We don't need another gimmick within the game.  League vs. league is what every sport does, and it works for them (well, the Pro Bowl doesn't work for anyone, but that's beside the point).

And H-O-R-S-E?  Yes.  Thank you.  I love it.  But again, the star power... I like that you do have some fairly well known players like OJ Mayo and Kevin Durant playing, but Joe Johnson?  Eh... Again, this is another event that I would love to see some star players get into.

Tell you what, NBA... he's what you do.  Kobe, Lebron, 'Melo, and Wade.  Get them together, and have a contest.  HORSE, 21 (that's right, 21), and the Slam Dunk event.  You get points for your place in each event... 10 for 1st, 7 for 2nd, 4 for 3rd, and 1 for 4th.  The overall winner of these 3 events is your Ultimate All-Star.

Just do it.

Alex Rodriguez - My Take

"On February 7, 2009, Sports Illustrated reported that Rodriguez had tested positive for two anabolic steroids, testosterone and Primobolan, during his 2003 season playing shortstop for the Texas Rangers, the same season in which he captured his first American League Most Valuable Player award, broke 300 career home runs (hitting 47 runs that year), and earned one of his ten Silver Slugger Awards. The information had been part of a government-sealed report detailing 104 major league players who tested positive for performance enhancers during a 2003 survey test, which was conducted by Major League Baseball to see whether a mandatory drug testing program might be necessary. At the time, there was no penalty or punishment for a positive test. Because more than 5% of the samples taken from players in 2003 came back positive, mandatory testing of major league baseball players began in 2004, with penalties for violations." (Wikipedia.com)

I'll admit it.  I've never been a fan of A-Rod.  He seems like a giant waste of cash to me.  Here's a guy making more money for playing one *game* than I will ever see over the span of one year, unless I get incredibly lucky and win the lottery... then again, you have to play the lottery to win, so I guess that's out.  Yet what about his performance?  Sure, he hits the ball well, he fields OK, but has he ever won a championship?  There's been tons of talk since he got to New York about how A-Rod just seems to choke when it comes to the playoffs, and the stats that have been shown support that pretty well.

But on to the more important subject matter... I definitely don't believe A-Rod is giving us the whole story in his interview with Peter Gammons.  When asked if his usage spanned the 2001-2003 season, he replies (I don't have the direct quotes here in front of me) "That would be pretty accurate, yes".  Pretty accurate?  Can you make it 100% correct for us, then?  Did you start sooner?  Later?  What about when you stopped?

Also, when confronted about the drugs he was alleged to be using in the Mitchell report, you notice that A-Rod never specificly states "Yes, I used this" or "No, I didn't use this".  Now, obviously, we understand from the allegations and his confession that Alex has used *something* over those years.  However, he repeatedly states that he "has yet to see the results of the tests", and believes that as an accused user that he has a right to see them.  I totally agree, and I'm sure everyone is curious to see the results... but I believe that A-Rod is using this as a cover.  From his reaction, his answers, and the way he is phrasing his responses, I feel that A-Rod has used numerous (or at least, more than 1) banned substance, and maybe continues to use those substances today, and he doesn't want to admit to anything more than he has to.  I guess this is smart, in a way, but how are we supposed to trust someone when you're telling us incomplete truths?  (Yeesh, I sound like my parents now.)  Give us *all* of the facts.  Lay it all out for us.  People will forgive you and let you go back to getting crazy amounts of money for not-so-crazy production on the field.

Also, on a complete side note... I was looking at A-Rod's stats, and something very key caught my eye.  Let me share these numbers with you.

29, 46, 21, 15, 18, 9, 17, 28, 21, 15, 24

These are Alex's season steals from 1997 to 2007... or more specifically, 4 years on either side of his 3 year alleged usage of steroids.  From '97 to '00, he averaged 27.75 steals per season.  From '04 to '07, he averaged a flat 22 steals per season.  The 3 years of alleged "bulking up" and steroid use ('01 to '03)? 14.67 per season.  Now, granted... the 3 season of alleged usage were his 3 season with Texas, whereas before he was with Seattle, and after with the Yankees.  Maybe the Rangers had no desire to have him be a consistent baserunner, or maybe Seattle and NY just had better situations or opposition for him to run on... but for a guy that's averaged almost 19 steals a season for his entire career, I'm wondering if maybe his added bulk would account for his lack of running (I tried finding his SB Success %, but I've lucked out on that... if you can find something on that, please link it for me).

I hope that all sports, not just baseball, view this as a wakeup call.  How many A-list players have been nailed in baseball now?  Bonds, Mc Gwire, Sosa, Palmero, and now A-Rod, plus many many others in the Mitchell report.  Sports have turned a blind eye to drug use for a long time... I mean, when an obviously beefy Mc Gwire and Slammin' Sammy were just crushing HRs all summer long, and revitalizing baseball in the eyes of fans in the process, do you really think that anyone in management cared how it got there?  No.  But now, we have rules about these things.  We have testing (as crazy as it might be... I mean, seriously, when a guy can allegedly take a pee test for someone else?  C'mon.) for these things now.  Let's make it mandatory for *everyone*.  Let's make it frequent enough that there's no way of getting it flushed from your system before the next test.  Baseball, football, even basketball need to step up on this... maybe they can all work together, come up with a joint testing commission that's only there for testing the various teams and nothing else.

In this society and economy, I know times are tough for everyone, probably even for these super rich sports franchises and leagues.  But the last thing I want to see right now is my sports getting tainted even further.  What are the stories lately?  A-Rod, Tejada being accused of lying, Phelps doing pot in the Carolinas... I'm sensing a theme here.

Wake up, guys.  You are supposed to be role models for me, for the fans, for the children.  You don't want to be a role model?  Too bad... that's part of the profession... accept it, or find something else to do with your life.

And to all the athletes out there that have been clean all these years... thank you.  I realize that you (especially those of you in baseball) are almost "guilty by association", but you've stayed true to yourselves and to your fans for all these years, and that's what's important.  Hang in there, stay strong, don't give in to the temptations.  It's athletes like you that bring the fans to the field/pitch/court every day.

Welcome!

Hello everyone.  Welcome to Words To Play By: A Sports Blog.

This blog is going to be a slightly opinionated, very objective, and possibly cynical blog about the sporting world today, covering many of the major sports and a few not-so-major ones as well.  These will include (as well as my personal favorites in the various leagues):

  • NBA (Phoenix and Boston)
  • MLB (Boston and the Chicago Cubs)
  • NFL (Minnesota and Indianapolis)
  • College sports (Iowa Hawkeyes, Northern Iowa Panthers, and many others)
  • Lesser mentioned sports, like soccer, swimming, lacrosse, and whatever else draws my attention on a given day
  • The Olympics (when in season)
I figured that I would also add my favorite teams, so that way you can understand my possible bias that I may have about a given topic ahead of time.  Obviously I will be more partial to my teams, but I will try to give fair justice to all parties in my writings.

If you have any topics that would would like my opinions on, feel free to drop me a line in the comments, and I will happily discuss these.